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Using technical analysis on Bitcoin

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  • odolvlobo

    Technical Analysis is nothing more than financial astrology. It is not based on any proven theories or evidence, and its tools are fundamentally flawed. Ever wonder why moving averages look like they are shifted to the right, and by different amounts?

    Technical Analysis is a superb example of how confirmation bias can fool even the most rational people. The quote below is typical, and yet believers will ignore it because it does not support their faith:

    I had traded stocks "professionally" for years and am fairly well versed with TA. I've applied it towards Bitcoin with some success, but being honest, I would have done much better to simplify things (and buy and hold).

    @itsaboutsharing, that's because it it doesn't work.

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  • Mutatu

    @odolvlobo Technical Analysis is nothing more than financial astrology. It is not based on any proven theories or evidence, and its tools are fundamentally flawed. Ever wonder why moving averages look like they are shifted to the right, and by different amounts?

    Technical Analysis is a superb example of how confirmation bias can fool even the most rational people. The quote below is typical, and yet believers will ignore it because it does not support their faith:

    I had traded stocks "professionally" for years and am fairly well versed with TA. I've applied it towards Bitcoin with some success, but being honest, I would have done much better to simplify things (and buy and hold).

    @itsaboutsharing, that's because it it doesn't work.

    @odolvlobo Are you not being a little unfair? Most of the posts seemed to be aware of the shortfalls of relying only on TA

    My experience of TA is similar to other friends is that first one "discovers" TA and believe one may have found a magic formula. Then spending loads of time adding more and more indicators to try refine things, but all it seems to do is add noise. I have lost money trading but not because I was using TA but because I ignored the trend etc and thought I knew better than the market. TA can help control emotions.

    How can one use fundamentals to trade? I guess the only thing that has held true is easy Fed = buy tight Fed = sell.

    I would reiterate to anyone who is new to TA there is no magic formula. Try and keep it simple.

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  • ItsAboutSharing

    @odolvlobo Technical Analysis is nothing more than financial astrology. It is not based on any proven theories or evidence, and its tools are fundamentally flawed. Ever wonder why moving averages look like they are shifted to the right, and by different amounts?

    Technical Analysis is a superb example of how confirmation bias can fool even the most rational people. The quote below is typical, and yet believers will ignore it because it does not support their faith:

    I had traded stocks "professionally" for years and am fairly well versed with TA. I've applied it towards Bitcoin with some success, but being honest, I would have done much better to simplify things (and buy and hold).

    @itsaboutsharing, that's because it it doesn't work.

    A lot of, or perhaps most, TA is a lagging indicator. But I don't believe Elliot Wave and Gann would be included. I'm very familiar with the latter and it has amazed me.

    Even though indicators may be lagging for the most part, if you find one that works magically for a stock (or more likely a combination of a few) and others are not familar with that, you can do Extremely well, at least for a time.

    IAS

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  • serg999

    Technical analysis does not work well on the whole kriptovalyutah including on Bitcoin, and even in the terminal MT4, and so prefer to use narmonichnye patterns.

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